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Tesla’s Flying Roadster | Stock Market Live: transcript

  • School of Gains
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Tesla’s Flying Roadster | Stock Market Live

School of Gains

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AI summary

AI-generated from the transcript below. Check anything that matters against the video.

In this live stream, host Jason of School of Gains covers a volatile trading day focused on Tesla and the broader market. He notes Tesla's Roadster reveal and TSLA's premarket reaction, describing it as a potential sell-the-news event. The stream analyzes key levels on the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq (QQQ), highlighting support and resistance zones, and discusses market internals like net flows, tick data, and the VIX, which spiked above 20. Jason reviews individual stocks such as Broadcom, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, and CrowdStrike, pointing out relative weakness and high-beta names. He shares his trades, including shorts in Hut and GDX, and emphasizes the importance of waiting for confirmation. The session also touches on crypto, stablecoins, and the three factors for stock movement: fundamentals, market sentiment, and technical analysis. He advises caution, suggesting gradual deployment of capital and avoiding trying to snipe lows.

Key points

  1. Tesla's Roadster reveal may be a sell-the-news event as TSLA reacts in premarket.
  2. SPY and QQQ are at key support levels; a break could lead to further downside.
  3. Market internals show extreme negative to positive swings, with net flows turning negative on the Nasdaq.
  4. VIX spiked above 20, indicating increased fear and potential for acceleration.
  5. Broadcom, Nvidia, and other tech names are extended and at risk if the market rolls over.
  6. Jason reopened a Hut short and holds GDX puts, targeting relative weakness in a weak market.
  7. Three factors for stock movement: fundamentals, market sentiment, and technical analysis.
  8. Advises gradual buying over 30 days rather than trying to time the bottom.

Transcript

12,608 words in 242 paragraphs, from YouTube’s auto-generated captions. Each time opens the video at that moment.

  1. 0:29

    Nat. Oh, the humanity. The humanity. Hola. Look it. Already in. Chelle's in the house. Yo yo. Morning.

  2. 0:58

    Morning. afternoon, morning, something like that. We shall see today from Ireland. I love it. What's a good Irish food? Can I tell the market to go up? Look, we got a bounce. We got a bounce. Usually it's a weird one.

  3. 1:30

    Beer. Beer. Usually you want to sit on your hands when paper gains turn into paper losses. Plug the mug. >> Do I have a mug picture? Plug the mug. Support the team.

  4. 2:02

    From the Bronx, baby. From the Bron Bronx. You like these shades? Anybody know where these come from? The end is nigh. Run for your lives. Run for your lives.

  5. 2:30

    What's up, fam? Johnny Bravo. They're not exactly the Johnny Bravo shades. Guess I should get those. And yes, the shades hide the tears. Think I'm going to come up with a collection of shades. They're fun. You know, mana, I've been officially fired from setting up webinars.

  6. 3:03

    Was fired from my own company. Just saying. I was told that I effed up and so because of that, we apologize. Apparently uh the marketing team had uh a old link kind of generated so that uh what was it? The old link basically.

  7. 3:31

    Yeah, we're going to I got to do this. It would be perfect. the the old link. There was a hyperlink built into the template for notifications that wasn't updated because I just cloned the the old template. And uh yeah, so anyways, here's what we're going to do. If you registered at all, we will send you the full recording.

  8. 4:02

    Also, felt like it was a little old, Jason. Like I know that if you were good at options already, you were like, "Oh my god, I've just found the holy grail." But I also know that if you're not great at options, you were probably like, "The [ __ ] is this guy talking about?"

  9. 4:31

    So I'm kind of torn. I do think it was like what you need to see, but at the same time I'm like h we could probably start a little bit lower cuz we did start at 501 options 501 baby. Everybody's freaking out, huh? Let me ask you a question.

  10. 4:59

    Let me ask you a question. Did we make new lows? That is in fact the question of the day and the answer will set you free. The answer will set you free.

  11. 5:33

    If in fact your stock made new lows, you should indeed question your sanity. That's true. But if it did not, you might have something there. Even good old lab of rockets. Yeah, I'm questioning this one right now.

  12. 6:06

    In fact, I do have a I do have a trade on lecom. What do you want to do? Do you guys want to look at charts? Lava rockets TBD 47 and change just about 48 was my number I you know 4970 it's probably good enough Friday. Is it a witching hour of any sort?

  13. 7:02

    I actually don't know. Boom. 4780. I did in fact actually buy a little bit. Anyways, if she gets lost then this is like 30s which nobody really wants to see. But you know, she's in fact expensive.

  14. 7:36

    Uh, that's a good question. How are the flows looking? Great question. Let's do it this way. Add a little hot. I'm doing NASDAQ. Oh, no. I'm sorry. I'm doing SPOS on the top somewhat positive. We flipped yesterday right here in the morning to positive.

  15. 8:18

    We got a little hot to the upside. In fact, believe that towards a close. That's pretty heavy upside. We're still positive though, just by a hair. Extreme negative immediately to extreme positive on the flow front. First boost which is SPY ad QD nasty NASDAQ advanced decline extreme negative to extreme positive same thing on spoos extreme negative to extreme positive we're just coming back in looks like not even looking at spy chart but my internals tell me spy is falling at the moment we shall

  16. 9:15

    Net flows on Last Naz are in fact negative unlike spy. Last flows are in fact negative. We had gone from extreme low to extreme high very quickly. Not holding on the NASDAQ so far. Tick Q internals. These are my gauges. If the market is a car that you drive, these are your gauges.

  17. 9:55

    This is my gas tank. This is the RPMs. And this is basically what gear I'm in. Forward, reverse, neutral. GM fam. If the market is in reverse, so the NASDAQ is in reverse. We're we were on empty for a while.

  18. 10:31

    We basically got somebody to, you know, pull up next to us on the highway while we're pulled over and give us one gallon of gas very quickly. And we quickly ah lost it. You like the shades? Johnny Bravo incoming. Spy though on the other hand is not in reverse.

  19. 10:59

    We are revving down. We have some gas in the tank, but we're kind of in we're in very low gear. We were We are in an extremely low gear. We're in like second gear. Not even third gear. That's what's true. All right, enough of that.

  20. 11:27

    Lava rockets coming in hot. I would like to say Broadcom can be saved. Let's see. Hya. It's like No, it's not really actually. What do they call this? Well, they only call it this if it actually stops there. Is that double bottom?

  21. 11:55

    I had to check on a couple things. I closed my Hut shorts yesterday. Just let you know. I have in fact reopened it. for a new expiration. I think she sees 50. I think she sees 50. We're looking at a couple. The reason I look for a short and a long at least every day is just in case something like this happens. You guys remember what I was looking at yesterday?

  22. 12:35

    Uh, ugly, ugly. L crowd down 7%. My GDX shorts for the weeklyies have been taken down entirely. I do in fact have January puts. Just saying. And I just took the profit from the weeklies and added to January 2027's 85s. We shall see.

  23. 13:11

    We did yesterday. We did yesterday. Hey, you know. Oh, bending spoons. I I thought it was going to be down 30% the following day. It's not. It's coming down today. You want to short? Short it. Crypto SLS. You know, is the whip here?

  24. 13:46

    Our boy Cool Whip sends me a DM this morning. I actually thought it was interesting. I think this is old cuz this says as of 2025. I did not realize this is very blurry that the scable stable coin issuance is this high could be one of the largest holders of US treasuries by 2030.

  25. 14:25

    I I don't want to be bearish crypto. I don't But I don't like that. That was as of 2025. I don't know if that's accurate or not anymore. Palunteer Twilio, don't chase that.

  26. 14:53

    Palunteer coming in hot. We did in fact model a trade on the Palenter. We did indeed. We in fact modeled a trade on Micron last night that I I don't hate. Happy Friday to the unemployed gang.

  27. 15:18

    We are in fact unemployed. I guess I have a time spread on this guy. It's a very aggressive one though. very very aggressive. We shall see a AOI don't think so. Fastly looking for 21s.

  28. 15:51

    Big old consolidation maybe 20 these security names. I'm just telling you, yes, we're all agreed that um super important. It's very reminiscent of the bottleneck trades. These are too hot. You don't want to short them necessarily, but this is I'm torn. I'm torn, fam. Not going to lie.

  29. 16:30

    As a trader, I can look back over the years and I can say, you know, had I shorted these names instead of trying to catch a knife, if you will, I would have made way more money. Eventually I was right, you know, long term, but shortterm, what was I doing? I don't know. This looks like prime target octa.

  30. 17:06

    Too hot. Too hot. Way too hot. Hola. Oh, Conniey's in the house. Beautiful people. Thank you all for being here. We love you all. Love you all. You just, you know, you think about it.

  31. 17:38

    What's your What's your history? I'm just telling you mine. Yours is probably different. I'm just, you know, reminiscing of the past. I also could have simply said, you know, why don't I wait till this wave is over before buying anything?

  32. 18:10

    Was the analogy yesterday? kind of like um kind of like trying to stop a wave coming in to shore in the ocean by yourself. I'm over here yelling and screaming at, "What are you doing? You shouldn't be coming in." Then I run out to the beach and stand in front of it as if I'm going to be able to stop it.

  33. 18:41

    What? What? What? That's about as powerless as you are right now to stop this wave. Anyways, joking. Yeah, it's true. almost like uh what else? Do another one. Running a red light. The light is red in front of my vehicle. I'm driving on the freeway or down the highway, whatever. There's a red light in front of me and I'm like, I'm going to step on the gas.

  34. 19:31

    I'm going to step on the gas cuz it's about to turn green. What? I'm sure it's about to turn green. I'm going to speed up. Then you blow that red light and you you get t-boned. [ __ ] Well, that's a brutal. That's brutal. But true indeed. You were right though, right?

  35. 20:02

    The waves will stop. The light will turn green. But I had no shot at any point of stopping what was already in motion by myself. I know. I feel it. I feel it bad. But I was right. Every time it would end, things would change. You were right. 100% you are right. I just think it depends on your time frame.

  36. 20:35

    That octa looks real bad. I like the shades, but uh I'm going to tell you guys, it's a little hard to see on these. They're cool, though. Do you know 8bit glasses? Is that wild? Kind of neat. Shady gains.

  37. 21:12

    All right, so let's be real just for a second. We are coming in hot on the cues. We got a couple things. I need to see this level right here holds. Literally right here, right now. Am I the right here right now guy? Good God. Technically, we actually opened above this 721. This is support, right? We're back at the bottom of support. Was in fact a spot to bounce. Can we flush through? Depends on what's going on today.

  38. 21:53

    Tesla's going on. She already looks like a sell the news event. What time is it? Lunch hour. This is when things changed. Why is it so hot in here? Hang on. I don't know what's going on. Might be my light melting.

  39. 22:29

    You and also say diamonds relative strength but holds no more buys on the diamonds for your boy. You don't want to hear this. Well, maybe you do. I don't know. this move from here to here support and I'm sorry resistance right into that 50-day boom and my bearish resistance where the bears live this is from I think this level 525 give or take resistance so we've gone from supportish to the top of resistance we want to be cautious here on that index 525.

  40. 23:23

    I think she can continue, but right now based on what I'm seeing, I think she will pull back a little bit and you might get a retest. You're probably going to get a retest. So, be very cautious if not trim on those guys. And maybe, just maybe, the process of that, let's check on Apple. She's holding See, Apple's still strong. Microsoft doing the deal.

  41. 23:53

    Shoot. Am I missing a trade right now? That's a trade. Hold on. Octa was a trade, too. That's a knifer. Oct is coming in hot. This is uh No, no, no, no, no. They're doing like in the money puts. That's crazy. Oh, no. They went they got these early this morning. [ __ ] They're not buying a lot of time.

  42. 24:20

    December 1st earnings. Not a lot of volume on this chain. They're crazy. That's not happening. I mean, maybe that's very spready. be like 165 November.

  43. 24:48

    I'm not doing that right now. Oh, 17250 puts for the 30th. I don't want to buy Oh, there it is. 180s for Friday. 180s for Friday on Octa. I don't want to buy like a lot of time on short dated options. I'm not about that right now. I don't I mean, it makes sense, but I don't you know, it's stairs up, elevator down. I don't need a lot of time.

  44. 25:22

    Microsoft, we're coming in. Um, we've gone reverse further on the NASDAQ in terms of gears. We are about to run out of gas on SPY as we speak. We are actually kind of at the low end though here. Microsoft is what is that level? It'd be like 500s.

  45. 25:51

    What do they when do they report? October 28th. So the 26th of O those are 510s. Say around a buck 60. That's not stopping. You don't like to see that. Verizon even coming down. GDX short.

  46. 26:25

    Good. NBS 170. I don't like that. What about Synopsis? Synopsis and Cadence are good, but they're probably regardless like you're not gonna you're gonna you're not going to be able to hide out in any tech, dude. Microsoft intraday. This is getting rough. Ruffians, I'm going to grab this uh both of these real quick. I need the Octus higher beta. Higher beta 10:23. That's next Friday.

  47. 27:04

    180s. Oh, they're spreadyy. It's a little too spreddy. Too spreddy. Biggest cost to an option trader is the bid ass spread. That's too sprey on octa for me. And I would be chasing here for a bit on the levels for both of them. We're probably going to breach Microsoft is uh I don't want to do a day trade, but I guess I could be on the daily range. So again, it would just be day trading.

  48. 27:52

    510s for the 26th though makes sense. Still would be a day trade, dude. That's way too Freddy. What happened? Okay. I can't do that option. That's not happening.

  49. 28:27

    disqualified instantly. Bit ass spread too widemia is coming in hot. Extreme tick on spy just now. This is not happening. Too spreddy. The oct I'm still torn on. It is spreddy, but it's probably worth it.

  50. 29:10

    Is it 1023? These Octa options I'm looking at, dude, they're up like 20,000%. That's insane. That's like you buy anything there and it's uh gumball.

  51. 29:38

    Tesla's easy money. I would say that Microsoft is not easy money here. It's all extended. They're accelerating. I mean, yeah, I did. I did the next leg for QQ. Well, we're on support. Literally support here.

  52. 30:06

    And it's Friday. So, really the issue is, okay, this is support. You see it? It's uh here it's to the bottom of the box 700, but this is not a leg. Like this is not a thing. This is we're still in range here.

  53. 30:35

    Um I've not wanted to say this for a while. That's the actual fail, which is the 15% draw down, which is wild. That would take your high beta stocks like I don't know down another 80% one more time. But it's so far away like I can't really call. You can't call for that.

  54. 31:01

    That's too crazy. here. Cannot call for that. No. And now Tesla accelerates. See, good thing I'm not shorting right now. Still act like the horizons. This is support on both SPY and Q's. Boom. 76C7 spot 15. That's the level on spy spy. Do you see it?

  55. 31:32

    So, like I don't want to short through support. And if you did, um, it would have to be what we call a scalp. Like, okay, just for one little oof flush. It's also the lunch hour. I kind of feel like that could be a long at the index level. But the momentum and like the the sentiment is just not there for me to validate that. I mean I believe I believe it crude here's the here's the broad look diamonds resistance see the and I see crude the thing is like I'm over here generally speaking right diamonds for your alpha you get a little bounce 10 something% um

  56. 32:32

    depending on how you traded it uh and now I'm looking at it as like oh [ __ ] okay diamonds are at resistance first level and they're actually folding right now. So like when they're not folding, they're not going up. But if the diamonds fold and specifically Q's and IWM do not turn around and they keep going down, that combination uh is is going to be no bueno. That combination is what would take us to the goolog. I don't and you can't you can't speculate on that here. It's a little early.

  57. 33:16

    Look at crude. Insane. Um payday. Is it? In fact, they came in on a payday. I'm more worried about the dollar.

  58. 33:51

    Look, we're bouncing. Like, I like the bounce here. Today is another day we're like what even if we do like every day from here on forward basically just looking to see all right can we uh one make new highs and two can we what's the word I'm looking for? Make higher lows every day from here if we're continuing to make from a daily time perspective daily perspective. If it's a new low every day, I'm like, "Ah, man."

  59. 34:29

    Yeah. But we also noticed yesterday was 100% short covering rally was a spot to bounce the So, the next thing that you want to see and why we always wait for confirmation, right? I had a post posted the other day, yesterday, and somebody replied, "Do we still wait for confirmation?" And I'm like, "Absolutely yes. Oops. Where was it?

  60. 35:02

    Somebody here. Sha Donan. Shout out Sha Don. Do you think we're back or should we wait for I mean I think you spent w a t but always need confirmation 100% a spot to balance and in that last episode last Tuesday I was like yeah you know we could but we need to we could do this is the order of operations.

  61. 35:38

    So that is in fact always. So what confirmation is is like I need to see a new higher high on a day a new high a new daily high. And then first that's not good enough. And then second I see a higher daily low. And then from there I need to see that trend continue. this morning because we didn't see a new high meaning like we didn't actually extend over. That's what I mean.

  62. 36:13

    Here's our daily candle. We didn't extend. I need we would need to see like pretty quick extension. We don't have to open over, but I want to see a close over. And until we do that, you know, I I I can't I can't do it. Because there's a difference between like, is it a are we done going down and are we going up? That's two different things, right? You could be done going down, but we're not going to be going up definitively until we're at least over yesterday's high, 7:30.

  63. 36:47

    And this range I mean that's 15 points which seems wild but that's what it is. 715 is support. Sorry 716 spot 57 not to be overly exact. So we are on support. There's a lot of support levers like layers down here. So I'm like TBD T Hut 8 sub70 NBS 170.

  64. 37:26

    Yeah. So it's the structure everybody wants to like I I'm you know we've been spoiled with so many V-shaped recoveries over the last few years. So many. It's just not normal quite frankly. um is not average, but even in what looks like V-shaped recoveries over the last few years, um this structure, this bottoming structure, in fact, has shown up. It's just very quickly. It's like you don't always go instantly straight up. And if you did, then we would typically have a pullback, which in that case would end up being a higher low, and then we make a new high, and then we make another higher low, and then we're off and running. and it's like too late.

  65. 38:10

    So like two what we call structural uh breaks is ideal. It's all of them. It's it's I would like to see spy Q's diamonds DIA spy QQQ DIA when I have the same kind of general trajectory across all three of those that's what we would call confluence right so that's when your odds are higher so even with diamonds being the the higher alpha at the time you know a week or two or two weeks ago the better trade trade location 100 clearly clearly better trade location that's where the money was that's where you would had been better served to get long

  66. 39:07

    um clearly it didn't mean that like you don't lose on a lot of them you still do cats down um Gabriel that's interesting 2% away from the 100 monthly. Oh, no, no, no. I don't I don't do the 100 monthly. I decidedly don't. I thought you meant just the monthly candle.

  67. 39:39

    I don't do 100, 150, 120. You could complicate the crap out of that. I do 20, 50, 200 day. SMA, simple moving average, not EMA. Um, and I do those because the truth of the matter is that technical analysis is a uh is a numbers game, but it's a manifestation of what most people believe or watch, right?

  68. 40:17

    Self-fulfilling prophecy, if you will. The more people that look at this thing, the more accurate this thing becomes because more funds are looking at this thing. 100 monthly is very obscure. Uh 2050, 200 day simple moving average is kind of like your uh staple SMAs for hedge funds, endowments, large entities. Here we go.

  69. 40:51

    I think it's going to be a long intraday on Q's or spy just a little bit. But um yeah, self-fulfilling prophecies. You want to stick with what? What do they call it? Stick with the herd. If you stick with the herd, is that a sheep thing? Stick with the herd and the herd will protect you. You go off on some obscure, you know, path, you don't have the herd's protection.

  70. 41:34

    That's literally the deal. Yes, sir. There's only one other one that I will use from time to time and that is a 200 week simple moving average, but it doesn't typically come into play. From time to time it does, but I, you know, that would be the the one other that I do, but just know, you know, it is a Here's a bounce. It is a self-fulfilling prophecy.

  71. 42:06

    And so, you do want to stick with the herd, meaning the more eyes the more accurate these things are. Also, why you know we don't try to complicate TA. Try to keep it as clean as possible. The less indicators, the less whatever you're using, the better. You don't want to make you don't have to you don't have to wait for all the stars to align before you can move at all.

  72. 42:39

    Connie, the the herd lives there. Here. Um, I think I have a different code. I can pin it. Let me do that. I should pin it. This is This is true. That is in fact where the herd lives. You guys liking the portal by the way?

  73. 43:07

    I think it's nice. Here you go. Connie loves it. I mean, it is pretty solid pinned message. That is the That is the link.

  74. 43:42

    What is this? Like this to get you to a portal. We have built you a pretty legit portal. I mean legit. If we didn't have Graham, this would have easily cost me 100 grand. easily. She looks like that.

  75. 44:13

    Are you live? What are we doing? Where are you? Edit your homepage. We're going to build in some scanners. Most people would charge for that. We will not. Anyways, I'd like to see a bounce, but I do not know. This is in fact support. What am I waiting for? You're at support. Oh, take that thing down. Sorry, guys. We're at support. What am I waiting for?

  76. 44:48

    Waiting for buyers to step in. I need to see it. I got a little blip on the radar. I'm waiting for a break of structure. I'm looking at at a very short time frame chart right now. Right. I use a three minute to day trade. But I'm always thinking in terms of daily candles like this. Minimum minimum view. Start like this. Come down to this then to this. See where we are. You can do this. All right. 30 minute.

  77. 45:26

    We're holding. I like things that are divisible by three. which is me. And now I'm on a three, which is I started really high time frame and I'm I'm I'm I'm not looking at the 3minut candles by themselves. I'm thinking about how is the 30 minute time frame candlestick developing right here versus the daily versus the weekly and at what points will things start to flip?

  78. 45:57

    Cuz on a 30 minute it looks like uh it looks like it bottomed, right? But then I zoom in a little bit and I'm like, "Oh, I'm already heading back down." There's a little white like line here. That's yesterday's low. You don't have it. We just hit it. Tagged it. Are you in eighth place, bottles? It's all right. Yeah. Confirmation. Couple things can happen, right? Confirmation is multifaceted, but uh we know that generally speaking, that's probably the 30-minut high. Just guessing. This is definitely the low, but this is my level right here.

  79. 46:34

    I see one bounce. I see one flush. Then we get back up over. What do I want to see happen right now? Yeah. And if that's the case, then I should at least get to probably here like that. And then if I do get that over that, I can probably get a little like this. And then I can get a little like this. and I'm mapping out the day all of a sudden, the rest of the day. And if it doesn't, then I know I have yesterday's low. We'll probably breach at some point. We'll bounce and that would be my downside target 711 like the store from here from right here because that would be the 30 minute going down. Not that 30 minute really matters. It's just like as the daily candle progresses, Tesla not doing it.

  80. 47:34

    Tesla up five something% today. This is gap rules. Gaps gap up up. This is that session gap. Extended hours turned on. Half gap here fails it instantly going to fill the gap. If Tesla about faces today, it's going to be over 362. Oops.

  81. 48:08

    362 and a quarter. If Tesla is trading over 362 and a quarter, I do have this trade up to 370. That's a good trade intraday. And if it's over 373 for the foreseeable future, the bottom's probably coming in. Otherwise, we are heading to yesterday's low. Just happens to be a huge gap, making things very expensive. I bought uh what' you guys buy yesterday?

  82. 48:40

    You're welcome, man. you know, trying to make a little money even if I missed it, which I actually did because I didn't I didn't I I missed the clothes. I would have taken out the clothes. Um uh hopefully you guys make a little bit of money. Hopefully you make a little bit of money. Are we bouncing? That is the question. Why do I have Verizon here? Oh, I like Verizon still.

  83. 49:16

    But it's it's like a boring stock, dude. Look at this. Super boring. How's my into it? That's a big high. A little exhaustion today. I'm interested in this docu sign. I think it's a little expensive, but I like the logic right now. I think this is going to do good. Look, Okami, I I'm done buying, so it's an investment for me. I don't even know where it's at.

  84. 49:46

    85 was where I thought it could go. I'm not gonna mess with this anymore. I'm in. Um I didn't buy this. I think at this point I'm going to wait before it goes back up. Even if it's there, then I'll probably probably add larger. I don't know. I don't know. I'm torn on Okami. I like it a lot. a lot. That's a big level. I mean, that's a big level.

  85. 50:24

    Look at that. I should probably do it. I should probably do it. It is my level also. But I have so much already. I'm like, yeah, I would have to make a large purchase. Then I'm kind of looking across the board. I'm like, there's some more uh there's some other trades I'd like. Had to transfer money.

  86. 51:05

    No, don't use margin, man. I don't use margin. How's my hoodie? Yeah. 105 we mapped out yesterday. Dang it. Wanted to hold that. Hopefully she doesn't get any worse. TVD, I don't think AI is done, but I don't think that the market is trustworthy.

  87. 51:34

    trusting. They're just scared. Market scared. What are we on? Fear and greed. Extreme fear. Not too bad. It's an accumulation. I can say where support is right that's like sub 250 250 is here.

  88. 52:25

    So this general range 245 actually sorry this general range here goes a little bit lower and it's mostly coming from this area there. It's 235 but yeah sub 250 depends on your time frame. Look, time frame is buy the blood on the street long term.

  89. 52:56

    No question. But I'm like, if the diamonds roll over, that's Amazon rolling over a little bit. Trade location is not ideal. Definitely not ideal for Apple, but she's holding. This is the one I'm watching, right? We want to watch Apple. She's always the last general to fall. I don't know why. Eventually she does, but she holds her own the the best. Tesla coming in lower.

  90. 53:44

    Wow. Tesla options are going cray cray. These are very hard to trade zero DTS by the way. 150. Not sure this is going to hold. Nebas 170s. It's wild one. Yeah. Broadcom. Ah, dude.

  91. 54:12

    All right. I'm probably gonna have to close the broadcast. That's too much. It's not that much from a trading perspective. I'm going to adjust my position. I'm going to roll down my short strikes significantly. Yeah, she eventually does. Yeah, Broadcom's too hot.

  92. 54:43

    You might have a You might have a uh a near-term trade on your hands, though. So, you're just now losing. That's the three. It's probably cheap, too. Is lunch hour again. Really bad time to trade, but I do like to take a general view. They're aggressive.

  93. 55:24

    They're very aggressive. Support is holding still at the NX level. Tesla's losing it. New lows. Tussy coming in hot. 350. Spy coming in to retest that. I don't know that she holds. Broadcom's going to be 3:30 real soon. Real soon.

  94. 56:06

    Where are the Nouvo boys? They're still at lunch. She's holding. No moves other than what I already said. Crowd strike, man. 10% down scheme. This is going to This wants to take a new leg, too. I was waiting for an opening. Is that Tesla? There's a I just have it here. Crowd strike. I wanted an opening.

  95. 56:38

    This is going to get real ugly real fast. When is cross Oh, December. See, I don't want to. Oh, see if you shorted crowd yesterday.

  96. 57:07

    Again, your style, depending on how you do it, you would take some profits, change your strike, roll it down, maybe even a little bit out, put your principle into your pocket. It's Friday. Market's getting a little wild. I think uh I think it might be able to get worse, but I don't I wouldn't necessarily believe what I see.

  97. 57:45

    There's the support back to it over the weekend. over the weekend. Anything can happen. Um, so if we go down J dog.

  98. 58:21

    If we go down, I'm targeting names with relative weakness. Broadcom, relatively weak, high beta names, if you will. Nothing really fundamental other than GDX short. Um, and I am if the market flips in its entirety, I am not going to target relative strength.

  99. 58:56

    That's just it's not that's not that's not what's going to make a trader the most money. In a weak market, a trader will make the most money uh targeting relative weakness and high beta. In a strong market, trader will make most money targeting relative strength. That's trading. It's not investing. two totally different things for your like managed portfolio, if you will.

  100. 59:34

    Um, it's just balance, right? It's just balance. Am I going to trade? I did take a trade on the depot, but I already took it down. So, like look, the depot, what a what? The depot was wild. I took an option trade down 10% in like two days, dude. On home home depot, but at resistance. Uh, it's a nice little bounce. That could easily be a dead cat bounce. I just want to be really careful, right? McKad's MCPIS.

  101. 1:00:09

    I mean, off the lows. So, you This is where you're if you're trying to go long, you you actually go long over here. How's the shoe company today? So these are these are stocks like okay from a day-to-day perspective remember I was talking about okay I want to see new highs come in so do you get new daily daily highs each one of these I get a new so this day right here is higher than that day down there right fair to say and And this low right there is higher than that day's low. Fair to say.

  102. 1:01:02

    And that right there, you have one, two, three days to enter. That is I I know it doesn't look like a lot, but it's 3 days, maybe four, that Nike traded in this range, which ends up being about $34. Meanwhile, you are actually making new daily highs. Then you get a new low here, but that low is higher than that low, so you're still good. And then poof.

  103. 1:01:39

    And are we making a new high today? Actually, you are. But now it's because of this big day. This can still come down like this and make a higher low over there. And that would actually be a buy. You do it on a weekly basis. So, you have a a a weekly high, right? A new weekly high. It's pretty straightforward.

  104. 1:02:12

    New weekly high. That's 35 34, right? Cool. Check that box. So, now you have probably 3 weeks or so. If this is going to hold true, you're gonna basically go here because after this week, you want to see if you have little candles like this, you can come down as low as anything in here. And that'll probably be a buy.

  105. 1:02:48

    Even if this is a big red like that. Does that make sense? So this is a process of bottoming that's like another month if it actually happens. But it has to work in that sequence. Qualcomm 176 is resistance. Oh, spy. Q's Q's back to the daily lows.

  106. 1:03:28

    If you're going to look for longs, unfortunately, that's what you have to look for. But that's what a long that's what a reversal sequence would look like. Method three candle. But that but the thing is like always and forever all techn like all price action since the 1900s has been a two to three candlestick setup. It's nothing new. People just people just come up with like a new fancy word or phrase of like, oh, pivot machine gun, two up, two down, or fair value gap or IVG or whatever something. There's always going to be some some new fancy word that somebody renames, rebrands uh an old truth, claims that is theirs. There's nothing new in technical analysis. It's always been there and it's always been the

  107. 1:04:27

    same. It's just, you know, are you being had? Which is why we don't try and like, you know, make our own fake crazy name. I just feel like that's that's dumb. That's dumb. Do what you want. Not trying to get over. Yeah. always fixed. But I mean, it's not dumping cuz you're still not Is mama letting the boy in?

  108. 1:05:10

    Good morning. >> You're holding. You want to say hi? You got cows. Dude, >> come here.

  109. 1:05:42

    >> Your hair looks like a What is this guy doing? >> I got you. This hair. What are you doing? You look like a damn cockatu again. Okay, go play. >> You know That's the boy.

  110. 1:06:24

    >> I don't know if he uh he did in fact have cows. He said to look at the cow. >> I don't know. I don't I don't know if he's a It's at least not a new low. Do you trust the oracle or not?

  111. 1:06:54

    Big day yesterday. We're at least not making new lows. Same thing. Sand dust. Oh, family. I don't know.

  112. 1:07:26

    Yes, the minions. Wait till the daughter is there. How is Miss Cleo? I don't know. Miss Cleo, I think uh what did she say? Miss Cleo said today. Yeah, Miss Cleo's off.

  113. 1:08:03

    I don't know why she did that. Oh, Monday. She's at holiday. Today was the sun. The sun arrives during dark times to burn the shadows away and restore hope and positivity. On the flip side, it gives us an ego check when we're flying too high and price action is easy to the upside. Look for mean reversion with energy similar to the prior day. She said uh we're going to she said that yesterday was going to be fake.

  114. 1:08:36

    What' she say yesterday? Queen of swords. Max pain on a day like this. She just got it wrong. But she she's she's saying downside today. She got it wrong yesterday, guys. What did I tell you? She's in max pain and it trends in both directions.

  115. 1:09:08

    I don't know. Is that right or wrong? Well, I guess max pain to the downside and just complete flipping intraday. Okay, maybe both sides to get their hamstring sliced and close near flat. She might have gotten it right. She may have in fact gotten it right.

  116. 1:09:42

    you guys looking back 100% accuracy. I don't know. That was yesterday. I I don't even know. Okay, she's going. I've never seen an upside down card reversed. Stay away. Take a break. When reversed, he's saying it's time to kill the pause and get back to work.

  117. 1:10:13

    Couldn't tell you. The Q's coming in hot. SP new low. Ooh. Through day. Ouch. Ouch. Ouch. Through the daily low. This could get brutal. Through the daily average daily range. She's going to accelerate. She's going to accelerate. No boys are coming back early. Wow. Are they coming back early? I have a little divergence here. Is that a fake out?

  118. 1:10:48

    Not on hot. Sub 70 crowd holding. Interesting. Is that a fake out? Look, if we can actually hold at the index level for the week, it's going to be wild. Congrats, Tom, Connie.

  119. 1:11:22

    Enjoy. Have a good weekend. Appreciate you. Conny's the best. Vix is still sub 20, isn't it? Oh, it's getting there. VIX over 20 up to like 25 is is ideal.

  120. 1:11:55

    So, like the sequence of events is kind of funny to me, too. Think about it. Everybody went long yesterday at the close or at the open thinking, "Yeah, I nailed it." Right? And then you get you get shellaxed right away and then possibly make new lows. What would you probably do? You would probably pull a rip cord, which is exactly maybe what what they want you to do.

  121. 1:12:36

    And then Monday, just gap up 20%. You know, it's like boom, wrecked. They're scared again. It keeps saying that I am apprentice. Oh god. Oh god.

  122. 1:13:11

    Are you in fact apprentice Vicks coming in dude? All right. So, this is where it's going to accelerate if this gets wild. Tesla would be like 350. Crowd is holding, but I don't think that will. If the market rolls, then this one's going to roll right over. Um, VIX is getting higher. Broad comes coming in. It would be like that uh Mortal Kombat finishing move essentially.

  123. 1:13:43

    Finish him. And that would probably be the whites of their eyes, I would guess, because it won't be until Saturday that Trump drops the news. And by the time Sunday futures are open, you're already gapping up a thousand points, multi thousands points. See what I'm saying? See how they do that? My guy Mana with the support.

  124. 1:14:18

    So 222 was the last level, right? I think uh I think you hold off on this I so Nvidia's holding right now. We're in a longterm chart. Yeah.

  125. 1:14:54

    No new high. It's 205s again if this is still another retest, but it's more like double toppy which is not super ideal. You have that first, you know, break, roll, rip, roll, rally, rip, roll, rally, complete. Earnings coming. It's just a sentiment thing.

  126. 1:15:30

    And here's your where you stand. It's just okay. This is like a retest. retest retest of there but it's the third retest. So third time um third time would be a W they call it right? W no second time is a W.

  127. 1:16:01

    Third time what is that? Not really much. Um, and the problem here is that Oh god. If you go one, two, three, and I'm not seeing any continuation. This a daily. If there's a fourth from here, she's probably going to crack.

  128. 1:16:29

    So, it's a weight. And you see 212. No indicators or nothing. Just raw. And that crack is back to the 200 at the low end of the box. There is uh there's something good to be said here though overall. Well, there's a light, if you will, at the end of the tunnel. Uh, is that if so I'm going to use someone's schematic.

  129. 1:17:30

    Oops. Yep. It's like there's a blueprint. You need to see forget about the Oh, you know what I need to do? I need to forget about where this is coming from. And I'm just going to hone in.

  130. 1:18:06

    on one specific spot. There you go. I'm not seeing it. I don't know. I like it. It have to be like this.

  131. 1:18:35

    Yeah. That's what that would need to look like. A little bit more like that. Like that. This is a blueprint. Yeah. It's about it because we are retesting that top area. So, if it holds, that's cool. But in my blueprint, I got one, two. I don't have one, two, three.

  132. 1:19:09

    So, I'm like, TBD, TBD. Because what I don't want to see is this, which could possibly be what we're looking at.

  133. 1:19:40

    If it breaks, that's when you're like, "Nope." Then you get a fake bounce and No bueno. So, it's a watch. Hold. Tessy coming in hot. Ripping the band-aids off here. That's 212. Is that the Tesla plate? Shoot.

  134. 1:20:12

    Taco. Taco. Taco. He does it on Saturday, right? Gabe number two. Oh, open a ticket in the server. Maybe Graham can do that for you. Possibly Graham. So, uh, Nvidia is in an, uh, sell calls mode but higher. It's Friday, right? So just like Friday is similar to Monday in sense where anything can kind of happen and it's not necessarily real.

  135. 1:20:58

    SP still holding. Why don't they just rip it off, dude? That tea is good. Not going to lie. Wow. That's for real good. Appreciate you, man. Yep. Yeah. So that's what so third three bottoms three tops would look like uh three tops head and shoulders three bottoms inverted head and shoulders. So the reason why I say if there's four whatever head and shoulders scenario you were thinking of Yeah. So I'm seeing large caps start to bleed. Um if there's four you're already

  136. 1:21:55

    invalidated. the pain. Just make it stop. I need to check on something. Fibius. Uh, we got earnings coming. Like this could just do whatever it wants to do and then earnings. They're just scared of earnings.

  137. 1:22:36

    I got Yeah, that's not good. I just took a measurement of just the New York session for Nebius. She's probably She's probably going to the lows. I can um confidently say that she may in fact accelerate just for today. It might be painful.

  138. 1:23:06

    Was that 155s potentially as low as 120s next week if that continues on? Yeah. because you just got to your nibbius. It depends. I don't know if you bought it. It depends on if what your time frame is. If you bought yesterday for long-term, you're not going to you're not going to sell it. You're probably going to be like, I'm going to buy some more. Actually, I'm going to think a little bit harder here.

  139. 1:23:42

    If you bought it for a quick flip, I I mean, we're going to find out what kind of traders are out there. Net flows on spy going negative here now. So that's the flipping right there. That's not what you want to see if it can get back. Oh, we just got a little buy coming and a little sell.

  140. 1:24:11

    Come on, guys. This would be the flipping. This would be where like G they give up Tesla way beyond. feel like uh you could scalp a little shorty short on just in case just a day trade.

  141. 1:24:56

    Why? Why are the Oh, yeah. They're down. You could do a zero day if it's happening now. 160s for next week are 440 cuz I got 155. 160 is yesterday's low. 163 is yesterday's low. Sitting on it.

  142. 1:25:33

    Where are they going? Broadcom at the level. I still need to I I might adjust that next week just in case we get the taco over the weekend. Yeah, that was a wild one, right? But she's bleeding out today. She's going to 353.

  143. 1:26:01

    Wow. Intraday. That's carnage. There goes Nebius. I say that on Nebas because 172 although that is a weekly range like you don't want to see it more than that of yesterday's range. So when I have that, it's at least an inside day. Best case scenario, you close on Nebius. Honestly, like cuz if you close on Nebius somewhere between 172 and 176, quite frankly, like if it does this toward the close and kind of stops there, that's also going to be perfectly fine.

  144. 1:26:52

    But we got a couple hours And it's just getting worse. That is where we looked at it. NVIDIA that means Nvidia short by the way near-term like if you like a day trade that's a really cheap I want to do this I get some lunch money I got two trades It's kind of cooking.

  145. 1:27:51

    Netflix are iffy, but zero day Friday with some lunch money. I don't know how much is lunch. What do you do? How much do you spend on lunch? I can spend 30 to 40 bucks on lunch. Inflation's real. That'd be a 215 put on Nvidia a zero day just for see if I can make some mistake. Oh [ __ ] it's gone.

  146. 1:28:24

    Shh. 44 45 tffy in out. 46. I just want a steak. One stake accelerating pre-market lows.

  147. 1:29:03

    It was too cheap. It was just kind of cheap. Still a little cheaty, but we're extending. Uh tick is extreme, too. This is going to be like a few minutes if that. Yeah. Under 20. Dang. Hey, that's how much it costs.

  148. 1:29:45

    Broadcon coming in hot that Tesla put. Oh my goodness. This is the Nivius 160 for next week. Nvidia's on premarket. Um, she would need to go. Microsoft might be a swing. Look at that. Good god. Leak. They're frustrated.

  149. 1:30:19

    Tesla 350s 352. How much does a happy meal cost for you guys? Because I'm just Oh, volunteer. Yeah, this is why you know they always say I want to buy all-time highs. The people that say that are investing for 3 to 5 years at minimum. The traders are not. They do not do that.

  150. 1:30:49

    If you're investing account, totally fine. It's getting worse. It's accelerating. 50. She did. She did. Indeed. She actually broke through. Both QQ and Spy broke through their average daily ranges. Wow. and my ud doll 53. I mean that's cool. 55 Nebius already rippy rippy. Look at this

  151. 1:31:50

    contracts. These are puts. These are put contracts that we are I have playing with right now for the day trade. Just trying to make a little stake 60. Just wanted to buy steak for lunch. Maybe for dinner. It's a little It's 10 a.m. my time. It's probably good enough. Probably good enough.

  152. 1:32:18

    45 to 60. That's good. GG. Do what you want. Maybe it continues. I just wanted to make a happy meal so I could uh, you know, grab my son a little happy meal. Maybe I can get myself a cup of noodle. That was it. Maybe some pasta.

  153. 1:32:48

    Also, Halloween decorations. Wow. I'm I'm going to keep a little bit here. We'll see. She goes, "That nebas is definitely a reversal coming into the lows at 163, but I don't want to lose any money." Hang on. What's this? They can't see.

  154. 1:33:20

    This is Minion 2.0. Want to say hi? You seem scared. Is this the face of pure terror? What am I looking at? Hello. This is Charlie. Hi, Charlie. Charlie was a preeie. Does she look like a preeie?

  155. 1:33:48

    Charlie has already eaten her original self. She has doubled her size in 30 days or whatever. That's insane. >> I think she sees herself. It's over there. Okay, mama. How about it? Byebye. Did you just want to say good morning? Byebye. Hi. Say byebye. Don't look at me like that.

  156. 1:34:19

    Stop. That's enough. Enough of the minions. Double duty. Are we still drilling? Drill team six. Drill team six. Oh. Oh, the humanity. Look at the the humanity. What's happening?

  157. 1:34:55

    Oh, it's all good. Charlie is short for Charlotte. You guys know what my last name is? I did that. Am I a bad father? I don't know that.

  158. 1:35:24

    You have just met the first Charlie Brown. In fact, last name Brown. Charlie Brown. I did that. Whoops. She's going to be very strong woman that name, but it's Charlotte. She does what she wants.

  159. 1:35:53

    Anyways, good god. Why is this getting worse like this? I mean, I know, but I don't know. I think Vita is good, but this whole this whole complex is getting it's getting cooked, fam. These little red dashes, you can't see. That's actually an average daily range. Like this on SPY, that's how much SPY typically moves.

  160. 1:36:23

    You can't see this. You probably cannot see this. So this red little line, that's how much SPY moves in an average day. This line right here, that's yesterday's low. And then there's this little blue line that is very faint for you. It's it's bright enough for me. Look at this on the right. There's no buyers. We are squeezing to the downside. Everyone has fled. No green at all. That little blue line that we just tagged, that's an average weekly range. So on balance spy rarely moves beyond that for an average week. This entire thing see this all white. White means sellers.

  161. 1:37:11

    We just we just witnessed a stop hunt. The stop hunt there was everyone that bought yesterday. We just blew through all their stop losses. Now they're going to figure out if they actually meant to close out or not because they they in fact buy it back because that is a that is an inefficiency that was just created in the market.

  162. 1:37:45

    Invita closed. I got the happy meal. That's all I got to tell you. internals down here. Extreme tick low. We don't usually stay in that gear for very long. I was just gonna check in on Whoa, those net flows. Told you the moment that that happened. It was right there. Kind of watched it live. Um, now it's probably actually going to bounce back and then we're going to see. Do they do they do that?

  163. 1:38:19

    Oh, look at Did I They're not watching the stream, are they? It's like, how weak is this bounce or how strong is this bounce going to be? But what I can tell you is that that was on on balance, the most that's buy typically moves from a Monday to a Friday. Same thing with Tesla were there as well. Can they can they extend beyond that?

  164. 1:38:47

    For sure they can 100%. You doing video again? No. Okay, fine. I don't know. Do you go upside or do you go downside? It's accelerating downside on the net flows.

  165. 1:39:22

    So they could do like double duties and Nvidia would be downside here because she hasn't actually broken yet. Palanteer 185s. Tissa coming in hot. Consulos, there it is. There it is. You guys know what they call this? What do you call that? What's that? They call this a shape. I don't know.

  166. 1:39:54

    One of those patterns. be Charlie. Charlie can't do nothing. It is in fact a bear flag. It is in fact a bare flag, which is kind of an inverse bull flag.

  167. 1:40:37

    TVD. It's uh they're barely coming back right now. So, here's the question. 10:14 in the A.M. on the Pacific West Coast, which means 1:15 on the PM on the eastern side of the country, which is the time zone that the financial markets live in.

  168. 1:41:08

    Did the Noble Boys just flush it so that they can go long because they came back from uh lunch, right? Did the Noble Boys just show up? Said, "Oh, no, no. I want to go long, but I want a better entry. So, let's all just load the shorts really quick and then flip it all at once. Let's do like this coordinated effort against the retail crew. You think that's what they did?"

  169. 1:41:45

    Probably not. Nou. Nou like the restaurant. They're the Nou boys. Nou.

  170. 1:42:12

    Cuz they get sushi for lunch at Nou. You know, very fancy sushi restaurant. That's their spot. I know. I see it.

  171. 1:42:55

    Um, what was the last bubble burst? So, you probably don't recognize them. You You've probably been part of them, too. The last one was not COVID. Oh, shoot. There's that Nvidia put. It's at 70 now. Um the last one was in fact uh what was the last one because you know um I think the spa bubble you guys remember that you you were probably trading for that the vest. Oh yeah, Spa was a bubble.

  172. 1:43:37

    I don't know that quantum nuclear was ever a bubble because I don't think that that actually happened. Um, but the spa mania was definitely a bubble. I was not around for like the financial crisis. Um, I know. I just They're like all regular markets to me. There's always some kind of bubble bursting.

  173. 1:44:14

    Oh, there you go. Over 25. That's usually good again. What do we do, fam? Before you make any long-term decisions, what do we do? You've been warned. We wait for the close and then what must we see after that? I'm going to see continuation. Yeah, I still like fast. I already said 21s or something. Um, I don't like it short-term. I like it long term. Um, hey, so my happy meal reloaded at 50. 75 is a that was an expensive hype. I had basically put like a chuck roast into it. Although the the other trades that these guys are just rippy rippy, nearly in the money. So, like if you're

  174. 1:45:14

    going to trade options, you want to open slightly out of the money, close at the money, and you can leave a little bit what we call runners so that they're in the money. Typically, I trade options different than most people trade equities or futures and things like that because I will scale, but I'm a little unique in that regard.

  175. 1:45:39

    So if my 215 puts which are now 80 on Avita double up double up double up. We shall see average daily. So Nvidia 21288 is the low of the day. Slowly slowly I said 350 Tessy right.

  176. 1:46:06

    She's actually at 351. You are now beyond an average weekly range on spoos. You guys make money or no? I dude I I like lattis semiconductor mix 22. This is it. We can go higher. Volmageddon. Fear and greed, baby. Where we at? I'm going to put the VIX here.

  177. 1:46:43

    22. Holy moly. Look at that ripper. The VIX. They're getting scared. They're getting scared. Why are they so scared? Look at the Vicks. APLD was 17. Are you scared?

  178. 1:47:18

    Bunch of shook babies in this house. Where's Maddie? Y'all shook babies because you went long at the open. Bunch of dingbats. Let's go, baby. Big foot spreads. Look.

  179. 1:47:52

    Is this even used? I don't know. Hold on. Hold on. I'm over here yapping. Look at this extension. It's fear. Fear, look, in the stock market can blow through your support levels. That's that's it will blow through your support levels. Trump will get a deal on nuclear arms with Russia and China. Trump Israel has been helpful to Saudi Arabia. Trump.

  180. 1:48:29

    Saudi Arabia is happy to receive support from Israel and the US. Taco coming this weekend. What a day to be alive. You should deploy slowly. Depends.

  181. 1:49:00

    my guy. If and only if you already have a full allocation to the S&P 500 and QQQ, then and only then should you actually look to diversify, not P4. But I would in fact say if you have itchy fingers, I get it. If you guys have itchy fingers, you probably can relate.

  182. 1:49:28

    So my suggestion would be to phase it out and not try to snipe the low. Just do a little bit here, a little bit there over the next 30 days. I would do that 10 10 and 10 for like every 10 days. I don't mind that. And it depends on what you're doing this for.

  183. 1:50:05

    I kind of think like I'm not going to lie. Um, some of those SAS names in the SAS apocalypse. Okay, Invida's over 80 now. I got my finger on the trigger. The SAS Apocalypse names. Um, dude, I do like into it. I do like some other names, too. Like in it is not going away. It's not going bankrupt. If I see CRM sub 190 is CRM sub190, it's not too It's 240. It's too high.

  184. 1:50:40

    Too hot. Look, Microsoft is not at a good trade location. Apple is at a horrible trade location. Um, memory is too volatile. So, no. Yeah, you could be a little speculative, but but you still have to have that initial allocation for real. 22 is a bit hot on the VIX.

  185. 1:51:17

    Tessi is not a horrible trade location. Mag 7 from a long-term perspective are not are generally not at the greatest trade locations. Sub Google, maybe Amazon and that would be very teenytiny. I would just chill. Unless you like Nike.

  186. 1:51:44

    Is Nike ripping right now? No, it is not. In fact, look where diamonds are bouncing. Let's look NFP baby. This in fact is also another NFP level. 7-Eleven. We said on on Q. Did we not say 7-Eleven earlier? Like the store.

  187. 1:52:14

    Did I not like go through this thing and was like 7-Eleven would be that like early [ __ ] That's Target. How does he do that? Oh yeah, that's Target. Close it. Vix pulling back. Overext extension. The fear got real. Mags and chill these days. Definitely I would definitely do um something today and I would actually do it at the close. So again, I don't like to do anything longterm in the middle of the day. Even if it bounces from here, don't like just close.

  188. 1:53:03

    You're not trying to snipe the lows of anything. Vix 20. Vick said 20. She did indeed. V 20. Wow.

  189. 1:53:51

    What was the last time VIX hit 20? Also, it's not $20. It's 20. Those are not dollars. Just fun fact, training police over here. First time since June.

  190. 1:54:56

    Boom. Did you buy What did you buy? I know was a Leopold blow July 20th. Yeah, Bailey. No. Um, it is in fact not um $20. Fun fact.

  191. 1:55:31

    You want to know why? Do you know why? Because you can't own the VIX you can't own it. It's an index. Yeah, they did. They were getting liquided earlier over here. Poof. See all these this white selling selling selling. And then this blue here is an average uh you don't see it. That is an average weekly range. It's not likely that we really extend, but we I mean hold below.

  192. 1:56:13

    It's possible. But that's pretty much maximum on average for week. Is this maybe an average week? Who knows? Um and this is an average daily range right there. This is yesterday's low here. Average daily range there. So when we start to get over an average daily range, then you're like, "Oh, shoot. We can extend. I can do that zoomed in because I mean I have all these levels kind of marked on the charts, but regular people might not know. We have just essentially what was this gap over here on the 2nd of October?" October 2nd, we have these session gaps on both the Q's and SPY.

  193. 1:57:03

    We have bigger ones below 757. Like the thing for me is almost like, okay, if we have this, if this is actually going to consolidation.

  194. 1:57:48

    Oh god, are we just barely at the creek? No, we have the creek already. Creek is here. I think we'd be doing almost this, which is But I don't I don't I don't think that that's like I'd be more concerned about if it's the straight up cell at this point, but a straightup sell isn't going to be for a while because we're still well within the range.

  195. 1:58:38

    But we do have this little mapping. So we'd be here and it would be below that. So this could be 17 and then I don't know. Do we get that? That is in the sevens. But whatever. That's the blueprint to market structures. Regardless, it's all about this whole thing.

  196. 1:59:08

    It's like do you get this or is this whole thing still support and you get this? Which in either way that makes that 760 super important because that 760 will either be the rejection or the bounce spot. Do I have an NP for that? I don't know. Let's see. Oops. do not takes me to 750s. Oh, which is more concerning, but we're not there yet.

  197. 1:59:56

    It's like a little bounce. Bouncy bouncy. They all got scared. I like that. Bottom is in for the next 10 minutes. True story. What is this?

  198. 2:00:25

    Liquid death for the next five minutes. Maybe don't even try to snipe below. Let's see.

  199. 2:00:59

    crowd still hasn't actually broken. She did a little but didn't hold down. Interesting. She held this. It's the low end of her range. Imagine it's just like a big buy. Nice bounces off levels. QQQ 7-Eleven.

  200. 2:01:28

    Okay, so these are ranges. This is yesterday's low 7:15 right there. If you get a little bounce, that's fine, but you got to be really careful about that counter trend. Do I need to What's Nabius doing? I need to close Nabius. Vick's pulling back hard.

  201. 2:02:05

    Do we hit the lows of yesterday? Ah, very close right there. No new low. Interesting. Maybe bouncy bouncy. Oh shoot, that hot roll is already up 50%.

  202. 2:02:44

    Come on. Um, we got time to the monthly open for spot pretty much bouncing. Yep. got to the these are targets like we're extended.

  203. 2:03:18

    Can it get worse? For sure it can get worse. But you know that's only because literally anything can happen. Maybe it's still over yesterday's. How's core wave doing? 61. Oh. Oh. Oh. Oh. Cory is similar story here.

  204. 2:03:54

    That's a quarterly low $60.50. Looking at net flows on the bottom right of my screen over here. Plus tick is a little it's bounced. So net flow came in. Tick's kind of bounced a bit aggressively actually.

  205. 2:04:24

    We're getting this whipsaw. They're not holding. Not yet. See that bounce and rejection. That's that's the concern.

  206. 2:04:59

    Even like intraday, all of this, this is just like lower highs, lower highs and lower lows throughout the day. was trendy today. There was a trend.

  207. 2:05:42

    Yeah, I I didn't take the Microsoft short, I'm guessing. Oh, it's O. It's getting wild. O the V TVD.

  208. 2:06:35

    This is crazy. Softy, is this your Microsoft or is it soft bank? I don't even want to look at my soft bank. Not bad. Sub 15 is probably I don't know what this guy's doing. Masa, you got arm. I'm a Oh, the rejection on arm.

  209. 2:07:30

    Amaze on 250. You know what? The cow is still holding. Believe that as I speak. Oh, ceasefire. That looks like Looks like news.

  210. 2:08:11

    Is it dude? Relax master headlines EU's co no need EU long-term budget no white house official to Fox Katie transitioning out of of press new Press secretary.

  211. 2:08:54

    Katie's fired. Katie is fired. Yep. She gone. I mean Katie Zakaria.

  212. 2:09:26

    Yeah, she gone. Bye-bye. Yeah, more trade stuff. Memory is holding, but it's it's uh this is 30 minutes ago.

  213. 2:10:11

    30 minutes ago. Hilarious. Five days. Is that a record? I don't think so. I got cross strike right here. What are you looking for, Mel? Long or short?

  214. 2:10:48

    KD5 DTE possibly record Scaramucci. No, Mel, get out of here. It's a short. Don't touch that with 10 foot pole. Probably the most expensive stock. One of the most expensive stocks in the market. Way too strong. Do not chase that. She's coming down probably 50%. That's not a dip.

  215. 2:11:21

    Too hot. If the market flips, this one is at risk bigly. Bigly. This is not a dip. It's a blip is what it is. Just a blip. See it now. Nope. Could in fact turn out to be a giant fugazi. Wait for post earnings also. Nope.

  216. 2:11:56

    Appreciate you. Great company though. Not going to lie. Great company. sub 200 if you got it. This is probably better. But you I mean nobody's going to call the bottom on this. I got 150s to 180s to Yeah, right in here.

  217. 2:12:22

    This area in your 200 day simple is in that 150 160 that I was kind of just noting. Your support is not until Wow. Support is not until 190. Then you have a little support at 170. See this on the right hand side of my screen. This is volume. Nobody was buying up here. You got a little buy. Little buy. Most of your buys are in the 100. Hang on.

  218. 2:12:52

    Mama's gone. I got a clock. We got a clock. We got a little bit of time. Mama's checking in.

  219. 2:13:21

    What's five days worth of salary? I don't know. No. 50. I don't know. I'm not bearish, but like I do think you need to be realistic. 45 rubric. I think a lot of people missed rubric. Clean up. Clean up. I have it as uh yeah, it's like not here. Take this out. Done. Done.

  220. 2:14:02

    80 7580s possibly. But you don't like it's gonna you won't even want to buy it there because like Yeah, I got 75 which is going to be that area. If that you're going to lose trend sub 100, but you couldn't get over 120. This is my This is my oof about Okami. It's like, okay, you know, got to 120, you lose 120, they typically go to 75.

  221. 2:14:37

    You know, you break 75, they typically go to 120. This is another box, but um we'll see. Great company also. 100% great company, but she is very hot here and you're about to lose. You You basically just retested that broad trend. Mind you, this was a $30 stock not that long ago.

  222. 2:15:14

    Literally, not that long ago. Spoos the cow just chilling. I traded I traded a Met uh Nebius for SanDisk in the draft.

  223. 2:15:45

    Which is one of these worse than the other? I don't know. I think they're about the same. Micron's like holding. Are they going to give up on it? What's interesting about this Micron? Okay, here's yesterday's range. So, this is just uh they call this very neutral. It's a very neutral day. So, you're holding 50% of yesterday's range, which is from here to here.

  224. 2:16:14

    That's a bullish hold. Uh, but it's just a hold. It just means it's in as long as this over 8.90, it's not going down. It also does not mean it's going up either. Just to be crystal clear, it means that it could be stuck in here. Uh, but if it is over 900, you're possibly retracing at least to here. And this is your daily range. But this is neutral having mostly hit a lot of your downside targets.

  225. 2:16:52

    But again, if she fails, that could get ugly fast from a weekly perspective. So Monday's a big deal, especially for these memory names and everything else. If this doesn't turn around this weekend, um, this could in fact get real bad. I don't know though. It' be speculative.

  226. 2:17:20

    It'd be like, why? You'd be you'd be sitting there like, dude, what's what what is happening? And we'd be sitting in another 80% draw down, which would suck. new boys are back. So, if they wanted to go long, it would be here now. But I don't seeing it. I'm not seeing it. I'm seeing that net flow is just kind of flush. We're actually towards the low again on the RPM gauge for the market.

  227. 2:18:01

    Just a little cautious. Vick's cranking again. Yeah, it's going up top left. Yeah.

  228. 2:18:37

    Downside price target. Yeah. There's certain things I want, but you know, the the better the deals are really boring. I mean, if unless you're like super high risk, then you could do core weave something at the lows. I was going to say my my rivy's at the lows probably. Oh god.

  229. 2:19:06

    I need a fibrill. Fibrillator. All right. I'll tell you what. I'm going to I'm going to be bad here. I got some muffins in a bag. This is cope cope food. It is in fact muffins in a bag. [ __ ] it. Screw it. I don't know why mama got this, but down the hat.

  230. 2:19:41

    I feel you so bad. I can only imagine who makes this post. Who makes this? I have a thesis here. We have an investment thesis. Little bites what they're called.

  231. 2:20:09

    My thesis is now whoever makes this coping food is going to do well because we're all going to be crying post. Sounds right. Nobody owns this. Wow. Is this it? Stop it. It is in fact it. Oh my god.

  232. 2:20:49

    And the stock is up. Stock is actually up. Good god. Get it out of here. That was funny. Hershey. Listen. Is Halloween.

  233. 2:21:23

    Wait, I'm doing this wrong. H RSY. HSY. That's crazy. That's crazy. General Mills. This thing never goes up. I don't understand here. Was it Kellogg? I don't know what Kellogg is. K E L L O G G.

  234. 2:22:00

    Not even not even uh Nope. Vix over 20. Micro was neutral until she's not. Oh god, they're bleeding out. Let me Here's another muffin for you in the bag. Wendy's. Just go straight jack in the box. because it, you know, no, I can't say this. I have no idea. If sentiment is bad enough, for sure, you need three things for your stocks to go up. And those three things need to happen all at the same time. And if you lose any one of those three things, she stops going up.

  235. 2:23:00

    Anybody know what those three things are? Mhm. Very good.

  236. 2:23:32

    Very good class. Taco qualifies a sentiment. Technically in this order, fundamentals, market sentiment, technical analysis. You can have great technicals. Fundamentals are broken. Ain't going to work out. You can have great fundamentals.

  237. 2:24:02

    Technicals say no. Near-term is not going to work out. Great fundamentals, good technicals, and all of a sudden sentiment shifts. It ain't going to work out. It's pretty simple. It's just it is in fact not easy. But you know this is this is the near-term um what do you call it? Oh shoot. I got a meeting. I have a meeting. This is the near-term um formula for your stonss to go up. Oh boy, we are accelerating.

  238. 2:24:44

    I have a management meeting my fam. And actually I do have to get to this one. Oh, listen. If you want to buy something, I think long-term, have at it. But just zoom out. When in doubt, zoom out, look left. You want those three things. Good fundamentals. That's primary. If you're long-term, all you need is good fundamentals eventually. If that works out, it works out. Uh if you're short-term, you need all three. I'm just going to put it to you that way. If you don't know what to buy, do the index.

  239. 2:25:19

    We know Trump likes diamonds. That's all I can tell you, you know. And uh last but not least, guys, we have built some really incredible stuff for you. Seriously, dead deadly serious. I would, you know, go into that portal is a huge amount of value. Um things that I talk about here, we actually have like full-blown lessons. So, if you haven't yet, I don't know what you're doing. It's free.

  240. 2:25:53

    And worst case scenario, grab yourself a boys and girls. But no, it's all good. Listen. Stairs up, elevator down from time to time. These are temporary conditions. This two shall pass. But and and nobody will ever snipe the low. So don't even try. Don't even try.

  241. 2:26:22

    Never at once. Love you, fam. Is it dishwasher safe? I don't know. But hey guys, I appreciate all your support. If you if you like the streams, look, hopefully, you know, let us know. We'll be doing a little bit more. Um yeah, I got new layouts coming, too. You'll be good. Until then, wait for the close. And if we do at the close, you got to see follow through next week.

  242. 2:26:50

    Next week is a big deal. Love y'all. Peace.

Questions

AI-generated, and answered only from the transcript.

What is the main focus of this live stream?

The stream focuses on Tesla's Roadster reveal, TSLA's premarket reaction, and key market levels for SPY and QQQ. It also covers broader market analysis and individual stock trades.

What does Jason say about Tesla's price action?

He notes that Tesla looks like a sell-the-news event and later mentions it is making new lows, with potential downside to 350. He also says Tesla options are very hard to trade.

What are the three things needed for a stock to go up?

According to Jason, the three things are fundamentals, market sentiment, and technical analysis. All three need to align for a stock to move higher in the near term.

What advice does Jason give for long-term investing?

He suggests phasing into positions over 30 days rather than trying to snipe the low. He also recommends having a full allocation to S&P 500 and QQQ before diversifying.

What is Jason's view on the VIX?

He notes the VIX spiked above 20, which indicates fear and can blow through support levels. He considers 20 to 25 as an ideal range for the VIX.

What stocks does Jason mention as potential trades?

He mentions shorting Hut and GDX, and discusses Broadcom, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, CrowdStrike, and Nebius. He also notes interest in Nike and Okami but remains cautious.

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